Economicks is hard!

I had the privilege of training in hospital epidemiology under Dr. Richard Wenzel, and alongside a number of really smart people (including fellow blogger Mike Edmond). We put a lot of time and energy into estimating the impact of HAIs on costs, lengths of hospital stay (LOS), and mortality…and our approach was simple and intuitive. If our HAI cases had a mean cost/LOS/mortality of x, and matched controls had mean cost/LOS/mortality of y, then the attributable cost/LOS/mortality must be x minus y. Right?

Yes, I’m oversimplifying, and I will give us credit for understanding that it was a little more complicated than that. However, at that time we were still trying to convince people that HAIs actually killed people, and that the damage they did was above and beyond that due to the patient’s underlying illness. So if our estimates were on the high side, it seemed OK (at least to me), since the main purpose was to jar people out of their complacency and increase resources for prevention.

The climate has changed. We know a lot more about the complexity of estimating the costs of HAIs (two excellent sources on this are here and here), and we’ve (at long last) succeeded in attracting needed attention to HAI prevention (from the public, from legislators, from the media, even from our hospital administrators!). So it now behooves us to “take it up a notch”, as advocated by Nicholas Graves and colleagues in a recent letter to the editor at ICHE (with response). You can read these at your leisure, but I want to highlight this section of their CID article, which I think is on target:

"The 'HAI costs a lot' approach to influencing decision making has served the infection control community well…..The time has arrived, however, for the methodological advances that have been achieved in this area to be implemented by researchers. Complete economic evaluations that include changes to all costs and health benefits should be performed...

The information used to update these studies should be of high quality and bias free. Inexorable growth in health care costs is forcing decision makers to respond to scarcity and work toward extracting greater value from health care resources….The time when reliable economic arguments will be paramount for obtaining extra resources—and even retaining existing ones—is close. Those working toward reducing the number of HAIs should craft valid economic arguments on the basis of sound methods and use them to build strong and cost-effective infection control programs"